Los Alamos, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

953
FXUS65 KABQ 072320 AAA
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
520 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 507 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

- A rapid warmup with dry conditions expected this week.
  Temperatures will be 10 to 20 degrees above normal and around
  record values come mid to late this week.

- Breezy to locally windy conditions expected Tuesday and
  Wednesday afternoon across north central areas and the eastern
  highlands. Breezy to locally windy conditions areawide next
  weekend.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 233 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

A rapid warming trend fully gets underway Tuesday, outside a brief
dip across eastern NM on Thursday due to a weak backdoor front.
Temperatures will be above normal areawide on Tuesday with western
and central areas 10 to 20 degrees above average by late week. After
being near average Thursday, eastern areas warm up to 15 to 20
degrees above normal for the weekend! Light winds are generally
expected overall with some breezy west winds across north central
areas and the northeast and central highlands Tuesday and Wednesday.
Southwest and west breezes pick up areawide next weekend with some
windy conditions across the highlands and north central areas next
Sunday. This will increase the risk for rapid fire spread after days
of dry and warm conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 233 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

An amplified longwave ridge is moving east across the Rockies and
will be replaced with light/moderate northwest flow on Tuesday,
followed by increasing pressure heights Tuesday night as an upper
level high in the eastern Pacific nudges into the Desert SW. This
adds up to continued dry conditions and an acceleration of a warming
trend, with high temperatures generally 5-10 degrees above average.
Breezy/gusty westerly winds will materialize by Tuesday mid
afternoon with deep atmospheric mixing of light/moderate northwest
flow aloft.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 233 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Upper level flow becomes northwest oriented on Wednesday between the
an upper level trough digging southeast over the upper Midwest and a
upper level ridge over the Eastern Pacific building north over the
western U.S. The backdoor front associated with the upper level
trough sneaks into far northeast NM (i.e. Union County) keeping
temperatures there similar to Tuesday. Elsewhere, the warmup
continues due to downsloping west and northwest winds and building
500 mb heights. Temperatures will be 8 to 12 degrees areawide.
Northwest winds will be a touch breezy across the upper RV and
northeast and central highlands Wednesday afternoon. The upper level
trough continues digging southeast over the Ohio and Tennessee River
Valley regions on Thursday, allowing the ridge over the eastern
Pacific and Mexico to build even further north over the
intermountain West. The backdoor front in association with the upper
level trough will cool locations across eastern NM down closer to
average to the upper 60s to mid 70s. Highs across central NM stay
similar and warm up a few degrees across western NM due to 500 mb
heights increasing to 585 to 589 dam. This will result in highs
across western and central NM of around 10 to 15 degrees above
average. The ridge axis moves over the state on Friday resulting in
even warmer temperatures across western and central NM with highs 15
to 120 degrees above average. Records will be challenged or broken
for several locations across western NM with near record highs
across central NM. Eastern NM warms back up to the mid 70s to around
80 thanks to increasing heights and some downsloping from south to
southwest flow.

The warmup peaks areawide on Saturday, especially across central and
eastern NM, due to the ridge shifting over the Great Plains and
increasing downslope westerly flow moving over the state ahead of a
trough moving into the Pacific NW. With highs 15 to 20 degrees above
average, records will be challenged or broken areawide! This will
translate to 80s across most lower elevations with 90s possible
across the lower RGV and east central and southeast NM. Southwest
and west winds will be breezy across the highlands due to
strengthening mid level and upper level flow. Winds increase further
on Sunday, especially across the highlands, as stronger mid and
upper level flow moves overhead south of the upper low moving across
the northern Rockies and Great Plains. Downslope west winds will
keep temperatures near record levels across central and eastern NM,
while western NM cools a couple of degrees due to lowering 500 mb
heights.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 507 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

VFR (Visual Flight Rules) conditions and mostly clear skies are in
place across northern and central New Mexico. A few high, fair
weather cirrus clouds will move into northern areas of New Mexico
tonight into Tuesday, but elsewhere the mostly clear skies will
prevail. Moderate breezes will develop Tuesday afternoon with
occasional gusts of 20-25 kt being common.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 233 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Warming/drying is forecast through the week with a developing
upper level ridge being the dominant weather feature. A backdoor
cold front will provide some cooling to eastern NM Thursday, but
otherwise temperatures will be rising well above average by the
end of the work week. The ridge will shift east of the area
Saturday and be replaced with increasing westerly flow over the
weekend. Temperatures will approach record highs by Saturday and a
hot, dry and unstable atmosphere will prevail. Critical fire
weather conditions will enter the picture Saturday and likely
become more widespread on Sunday, with stronger westerly winds
forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  32  72  37  77 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  25  67  29  73 /   0   0   0   0
Cuba............................  29  66  33  71 /   0   0   0   0
Gallup..........................  23  72  28  76 /   0   0   0   0
El Morro........................  29  68  32  72 /   0   0   0   0
Grants..........................  25  72  29  77 /   0   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  30  71  34  73 /   0   0   0   0
Magdalena.......................  36  73  42  77 /   0   0   0   0
Datil...........................  31  70  36  74 /   0   0   0   0
Reserve.........................  28  75  32  81 /   0   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  32  78  36  85 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  25  61  30  65 /   0   0   0   0
Los Alamos......................  37  66  43  71 /   0   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  33  67  38  72 /   0   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  29  64  34  70 /   0   0   0   0
Red River.......................  26  54  29  59 /   0   0   0   0
Angel Fire......................  23  60  27  64 /   0   0   0   0
Taos............................  24  68  29  73 /   0   0   0   0
Mora............................  30  65  35  70 /   0   0   0   0
Espanola........................  31  73  37  78 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  36  70  40  73 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  31  72  37  77 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  42  73  47  78 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  40  75  45  80 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  35  77  40  83 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  38  75  43  81 /   0   0   0   0
Belen...........................  33  78  39  83 /   0   0   0   0
Bernalillo......................  37  76  43  81 /   0   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  31  77  38  83 /   0   0   0   0
Corrales........................  36  76  41  82 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  32  77  38  83 /   0   0   0   0
Placitas........................  39  72  45  77 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  38  75  44  81 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  39  80  45  86 /   0   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  36  67  41  73 /   0   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  37  70  42  74 /   0   0   0   0
Edgewood........................  34  70  39  76 /   0   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  25  71  31  79 /   0   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  31  67  37  74 /   0   0   0   0
Mountainair.....................  33  70  40  76 /   0   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  33  70  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  40  72  45  78 /   0   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  38  67  44  73 /   0   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  31  69  38  71 /   0   0   0   0
Raton...........................  29  73  35  76 /   0   0   0   0
Springer........................  27  74  35  78 /   0   0   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  31  69  37  75 /   0   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  38  76  45  76 /   0   0   0   0
Roy.............................  33  74  41  76 /   0   0   0   0
Conchas.........................  36  80  43  83 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  37  76  44  81 /   0   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  38  80  45  83 /   0   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  37  77  44  82 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  36  78  42  84 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  36  79  44  84 /   0   0   0   0
Roswell.........................  40  81  46  90 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  39  76  47  82 /   0   0   0   0
Elk.............................  37  73  45  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...52

Please note: The SYNOPSIS section will be terminated on or about Wednesday, April 9.